January 4, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elgofranco | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lets Get Wild | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On Mars | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Long Legs | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Sky | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shenandoah Star | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oui Say No | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aristeia | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chromes Lil Sis | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Phast Pharoah | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Unit | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Morning | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liam’s Pride | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Restoring Dreams | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Port Saint Joe | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keno’d | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dude’s Dream | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silver Fury | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Journey | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mike Operator | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Ranger | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Cat Canyon | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Ruler | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creeds Revenge | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J C’s Henrietta | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sea of Liberty | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jetovator | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kakistocracy | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brix | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abusive Gary | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fravel | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bud Knight | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Bane | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Sham S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Authentic | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Azul Coast | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taishan | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncaptured Hero | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zimba Warrior | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scoring | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Scarlet Heat | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Magistrate | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Pretty Woman | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Too Hot for Curlin | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slew South | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lovely Finish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Y Not Sizzle | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Ember | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Durga | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sothalis | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Probable | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lonsdaleite | 30.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proverb | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Impression | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Class | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Endeavor | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meistermind | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Hero | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Gabriel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overdue | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | North County Guy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acker | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Eagle | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chosen Vessel | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Dad | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truck Salesman | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Sean | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soldier Boy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Italiano | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sigalert | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heartfullofstars | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Order and Law | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anonymously | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silken Spy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of the Track | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | An Eddie Surprise | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Ready | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magical Gray | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swing Thoughts | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Bubbles | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mariah Girl (ARG) | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tijori | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss Fia | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dearborn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mongolian Window | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.