December 29, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Conquest Cobra | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Short of Ez | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seahawk Wave | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Fifty Coup | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boy Howdy | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ridgefield Rocket | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burn Me Twice | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Dinero | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Song | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | San Giorgio | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Restless Rambler | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What’sontheagenda | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Castle | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Milo | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Scents | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alleva | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accountability | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Dale | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raneem | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ava’s Charm | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kelani Kim | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s So Pretty | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Eclipse | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Broadbeach (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lady Timmy Ho (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Danceformunny | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lookintogeteven | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Hearted | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carpe Vinum | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Honor Hop | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reducta (GB) | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Predictable Tully (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Resarcio | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Secretary | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Amalfi Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | I Give Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nu Pi Lambda | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Concord Jet | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temple Knights | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saddle Bar | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoss Cartwright | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rineshaft | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stay Golden | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brazilian Summer | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Bad Gary | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Eddie Logan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Smooth Like Strait | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Encoder | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goliad | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kanderel | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Act | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Force Jet (GB) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Stiff | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hariboux (GB) | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nora’s Joy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Venetian Harbor | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bristol Bayou | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Mo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Agave Queen | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Enchanting Moon | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eyes Open | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brandons Danger | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of the Tavern | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Blue Norther S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lighthouse | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guitty (FR) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parkour | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laura’s Light | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overjoyed | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Sky Baby | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Bird (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Bourbon | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Claudelle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Road Rager | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Stormy D | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swirling | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rather Nosy | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Into Chocolate | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shear Class | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donut Girl | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Runnuer | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Torosay | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Appreciated | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shandling | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mountain Spirit | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prodigal Son | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caray | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle of Memphis (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Island (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Noivo (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sigalert | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tiger Dad | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Italiano | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Portando | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.