December 28, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Garth | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Mischief | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Provost | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil Made Me Doit | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Fury | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Railsplitter | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sunshine | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Lady Of Shamrock S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Alessandra | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brill | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Peridot | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodhicitta (GB) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lakerball | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sold It | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rickie Nine Toe’s | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tacocat | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Melodie | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Rosa Drive | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Arya | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’s a Riddle | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kuda Huraa | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift Socks | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cowboys Daughter | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Friendly Outthedor | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camps Bay | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tromador | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Montana Moon | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speakerofthehouse | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turn the Switch | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Muskoka | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rightful | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Parking Here | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold N Grand | 20.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – San Antonio S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gift Box | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midcourt | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Draft Pick | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Magician | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Abner | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mugaritz | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fight On | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – American Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Unusual | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vibrance | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apache Princess | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giza Goddess | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Point | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Much Happy | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | K P Slickem | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – La Brea S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bellafina | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bell’s the One | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mother Mother | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Not to Love | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Del Mar May | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stirred | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Star | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motion Emotion | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Cover | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Robert J. Frankel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Excellent Sunset (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Blame Judy | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Peintour | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Journey | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiny Tina | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mirth | 2.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Streak of Luck | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harmless | 6.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Malibu S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Omaha Beach | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roadster | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Much Better | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Complexity | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manny Wah | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mathis Brothers Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo Forza | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingly | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neptune’s Storm | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Easy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bob and Jackie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ocean Fury | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sash (GB) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Loafers Boy | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Originaire (IRE) | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Totally Tiger | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Include the Tax | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Tony | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Champs Success | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Blue | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger the Man | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jungle Boy | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Melody | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Precher | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ridge Route | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenga’s Gold | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.