December 21, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Factorino | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ralston | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Don’t Tase Me Bro | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mukulwitz | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Now Is | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Discreet Tune | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First String | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Ending | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stonecastle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lil B Quick | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Only in August | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Susikin | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chiqui the Gray | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Game | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Learn Story (DOM) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Cryogenic | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Doctor Dub | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vinnie Van Go | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Boy Bode | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Apache Brave | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Kantharos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Amelia’s Wild Ride | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Marcelino | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flawless Moon | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Special | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Third Army | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | London Werewolf | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Diesel | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Gregory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Robintakincharge | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Maryland Pride | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iconic | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Toupha | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Brothersledge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Belgrano | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Small Hope | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sagamore Mischief | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unconquered Lea | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Kahn | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Omnious | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Show No Mercy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chamberlain | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Eyes West | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Swing | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spa City | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ninth of April | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Teachable Moment | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bebeau | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Effect | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Wise to Listen | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winter’s Wonder | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dermot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Castillete | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sugartown Kid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Assertiko | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncaptured King | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Travelin Gambler | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rebelde | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kozy Kat | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | D’archer | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Makabim | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Pete | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northbrook | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | Roddick | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sir Seamus | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Positive Phil | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Drillomatic | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burn the Boats | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Volubile | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Valdolobo (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Justcallmenorman | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Solar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Machiavelli | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Saltking | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Vegas Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Devoted Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mr. Prospector S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Hint | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | X Y Jet | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Oops | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lasting Legacy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zenden | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Home Base | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bacano | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Earthquake | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Frio | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exatlon | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Soy Borracho | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Farm Strong | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Muhlenberg | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Tempesta | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovedisc | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sergeant Azer | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tatis | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prefontaine | 50.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mystery Bank | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Big Treasure | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | He’s Super Lucky | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bambino | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.