Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 19, 2019

December 19, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Nimble Beast 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Neverstopdreaming 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Young Raymond 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 L’ Cristabal 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Grand Moreland 3.50 5.1 10-1
9 7 Conquer 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 All Power 12.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Money House 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Smash 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Ship Lock 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Thats All He Wrote 30.00 3.7 7-1
7 5 Indy Rules 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 3 Bravely Bold 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 4 Titere 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 2 Old News 50.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Severus 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ezzy Big Ezzy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Higher Authority 1.60 3.1 6-1
3 3 Oroscopo 8.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Clamor 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Colman Joseph (IRE) 1.80 3.8 7-1
5 5 Siesta Moon 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Churchills Victory 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Imperial Greatness 15.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Memorize 1.40 2.8 5-1
4 4 Micah’s Girl 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Dixie Princess 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Super Witch 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Brookes All Mine 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Salsa Rita 30.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Trappe Me Later 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 No Nay Maybe (IRE) 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Deckology 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Mr Nappy 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Fentynola 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Living Vicariously 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Chanelin 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Miles Ahead 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Bling Seeker 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Dream d’Oro 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Paula Andrea 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Dana Grace 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hy Dollface 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Crumb Bun 3.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Sky Chaser 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Miss Marcela 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Flat Awesome Jenny 8.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pugilist 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Scatnap 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Malkia 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 She’s Right Again 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Watchin the Wheels 6.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Sweet Story 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Adamant 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Callie California 12.00 8 15-1
9 9 Raki 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Quiet Company 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 First in Command 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Sanaable 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Heroic Activist 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 I Love Shopping 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Asyena 2.50 6.4 12-1
2 2 Tiz Enough 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Bellatrix’s Wand 6.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Henry’s World 1.60 2.4 5-1
5 4 Deo Forte 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Kaufy Bean 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Mrs. Maisel 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 5 Fast Loaded 4.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 K W Captain Flint 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Delta Hutch 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Tappin Honor 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Abaco Dream 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Savannah Grass 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 It’s a Lovely Day 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Blue Chicory 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Catquick 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Cherorama 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Tong Shu 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Cocktails Or Candy 30.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Alpilles 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.