December 18, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Alaskan | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silverly Enough | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khozy My Boy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chads Choice | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rich Buddy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Connection | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Yenner | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Bridge | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charly Jesus’ Team | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Drill | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Mistress | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fightress | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eastern Princess | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cory Gal | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Nelly | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Chloe G | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Auramet | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Followhisfootsteps | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peace Speaker | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starship Taxi | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reagan’s Heart | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Revolving Star | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seatbelt | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cabre | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Some Say So | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dealer’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Keota | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Golconda (FR) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Distinctly Blue | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noncents | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Moonstone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sierra Aleone | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Candy Tycoon | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Point Driven | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Easy Stride | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rodeo Red | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz Rye Time | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ringle Belle | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bibiana | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jades Gelly | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Cara Bonita | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mane Attraction | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Min It to Win It | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Jewel | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Prayingforthat | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catalina R | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Lee | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Believe Indeed | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viva Forever | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spicy Nelly | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valley Date | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Trick | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mary Lee and Me | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Gran Malbec | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Captain Ron | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mar Vista Miguel | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Macho Blue | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fully Loaded | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Go Gone Gone | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Earth | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Saman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Harryhee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tale of Kantharos | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Salambo | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kyle | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Di Baggio | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Particularity | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free Flayme | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maddy’s Last Dance | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undaunted | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Bean Counter | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Helen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Decorated Ace | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Diamond Play | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Passion Plus | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Get Rewarded | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Golden Tap | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Rosyjersey | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charette | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tiple (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Scatnap | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.