December 15, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Dancing Destroyer | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daily Grace | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Truly Ambitious | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kozy Dreams | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Liza | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Romantic Tale | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | By His Grace | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aznavour | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sweetonthegents | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tweet Away Robin | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dawndetti | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Letizia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tara | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pick Up the Fone | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marva | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Nole | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Brown | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tangled Tale | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Tunes | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afandi | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Company Store | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New York Style | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creedmoor | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parkland Strong | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Three Deep | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | David’s Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bad to the Core (FR) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Appealing Briefs | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eric the Salesman | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solar Warming | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Colonel | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sidney’s Charisma | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Ninja | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | America’s Simmard | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Waterloo Sunset | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Melody | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Syzygy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angel’s Run | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queenoftheminstrel | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Wife | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apollo U Anywhere | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emperor’s Song | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drill’s Girl | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Secret | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Culture | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle of Blenheim | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Decision | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Crushem | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zulu | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Champagne | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farley | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Beau | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast One | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | At the Beach | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Consilium | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prospect Project | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Global Currency | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Biff | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bip Bip Full Power | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Castagno | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Prized Warrior | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Macho d’Oro | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silent Mischief | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Took a Cab | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pawnbroker | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Youshouldbesolucky | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Feather | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Stark | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Ghost | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sky D | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glenn’s Caper | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Temple Mount | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minerunner | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Congrats This | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Game Boy Benny | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonder In | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ray’swarrior | 0.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | He Iz Gone | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Best Chance Yet | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Unpublished | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maddy’s Last Dance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Black Pepper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gilded Drama | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lovely Luvy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Here Comes Jackie | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charlotte the Brit | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cassidy’s Smile | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anabella Queen | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diablo’s Darling | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tropicality | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faith N Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Bad Boy E. J. | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lookin Forever | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blockbuster | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Stand Corrected | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Fog | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King Leonardo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shiny Copper Penny | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King of Leinster (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | London Werewolf | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Wine | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Luna | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.