December 14, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elite Song | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Egyptian Nights | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Dahlia | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bells of War | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glorious Gizmo | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Takota | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sararenda | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Foxy Power | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Silent Charity | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Flashy Princess | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Born Ready | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Am I Said | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Raison Layd | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buttered Toast | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boatloadofnerve | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Natural Habitat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Display S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Knight | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finalist | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Thunder | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vanzzy | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Mercury | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Deed’s Legacy | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forest At Dawn | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sneaky Sister | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caseyoudidn’tknow | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Vision | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peggy’s Cove | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kewanne | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Shaunessy | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raspberry Wild | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peut Etre | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Crossed | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wedding Ring | 15.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eumenides | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Belle | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chaldea | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kayseri | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Charm | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Sunshine | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O La La | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blushing Brew | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | San Nicola Star | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Laxmi | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sick Society | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Eleanor Powell | 20.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Fret | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Let’s Have Fun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jackie Milton | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wide Awake | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sky Factor | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cara Caterina | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Meet Michelle | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trading Bay | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Mistress | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady of the Hour | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Did I Stutter | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Five Sparrows | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hypothetical Sky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mine’s Perfect | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | True Castle | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic River | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Wedding | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgian Dancer | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cortado Bay | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Broken Breeze | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vespolina | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sayso | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vinyasa | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hip Hip Jorge | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Congrats | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Heart | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firmly Grounded | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mayan Ghost | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wave Warning | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keen Samurai | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Foxxy Belle | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Veil | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zestina | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Savvy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charmaine’s Mia | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West L. A. Girl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | San Nicola Storm | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Breathtaking | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Girasol | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Crumlin Time | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dulcibelle (GER) | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Make No Mistake | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Look Incredible | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Jazz | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sadie Irene | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mamita’s Chica | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calais Cove | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Brie | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Misguided Passion | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Show Me the Prize | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Danielle | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | One for Nicki | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ailis | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forest Lass | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kay Syrah Syrah | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shishka | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Question | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Matilda | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flat Out Fabulous | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Klassy Delight | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Trail Blazing Essa | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snow Scene | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Lester Murphy | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hope Garden | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Out of Cake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Golden Pearl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Artifact | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kapellmeister | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cummings Road | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pugsley | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Conqueror Galactus (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Get’erdonebud | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Court Battle | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Corky’s the Name | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Immunity | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forester’s Forum | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gunner Ben | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Makemineamanhattan | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leo the Rabbit | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Take Checks | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Night Watchman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Leonard’s Bay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.