December 14, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Creation | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skeeter | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Friendly and Kind | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kinley Cash | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Reina Isabel | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theboyzgalaxy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Guess | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | And She Scores | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Her Kare | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfectly Precious | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Rhea Run | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond for Crider | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rattlesnake Show | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bankers Honour | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Finest Kylie | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Bottom Blues | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robyns Luckylizard | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s a Penalty | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shrew Grit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Terri’s Temper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr True | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot Apriority | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tensas Toddy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shot On Windy Hill | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Streaker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Fazio | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King Liam | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fooling Jay | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Smokey Gavin | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Louisiana Jazz | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | I’ll Raise You | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s an Honest Man | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kowboy’s Bobo | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Behinda Angel | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nomorequestions | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hold Me Kat | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Anne | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jr’s Sauvage | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Six Grand | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boots and Saddle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flashy Image | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | G Cisive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Southernaire | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diplome | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suddenly | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victory Bind | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Callme Mr Mister | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zens Secret | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distinct Quality | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ronda’s Custom | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Singinginthewind | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoesfromthegitgo | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snoop Three Socks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Enticing Shaq | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pepper Prince | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iter | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | B B Special | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noshackleshere | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Ginja Ninja | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forze Mau (VEN) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Machete | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stihl Harbor | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Waves (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ta Kela Warning | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cats Beauty | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Key Red | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Memory Magic | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver’s Swan Song | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sha Blush | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Come On Nancy | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promise Tender | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seeds of Time | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dora Maar | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play On Becky | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temple Shadow | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | As Fast as You Can | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Moira | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace of David | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tentwelvefourteen | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blushing Dreamer | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Closing Up | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Makers Star | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expectvalidczech | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kye’s Addycat | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash’s Adventure | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Combat Command | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Typist | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hope for Value | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chasing Happy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | King Formeredith | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.