December 12, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gas Can | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coilette | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Staythirstymyamigo | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Six Carats | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Tea All Shade | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So Gucci | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enemy Runner | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Nasty | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shootin Money | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Megameister | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benny Chang | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leatherneck | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promise Nothing | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seahawk Wave | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Just Bob | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | According to Buddy | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onthewingsofadream | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Satori | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | San Giorgio | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leedslimit | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sierra Sunrise | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Carmelita | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thanks | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | At the Margin | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warm It Up | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosie’s Gold | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Dance Bella | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chic Clementine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rizzi’s Honors | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fracas | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rattle | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chitter Chatter | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whoa Nessie | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winsinfashion | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Valor | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calder Vale | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corrana En Limen | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shared | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Credance | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Ruler | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J C’s Henrietta | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunrise Royale | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Square Peggy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grinningeartoear | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | South Boot Shirley | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Suzzie | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bako Sweets | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violette Szabo | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Christy Jackson | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Blue | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extractor | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Hit | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isla’s Toy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Dub Thee | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autism Warrior | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Melody | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Charm | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shackmandu | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.