December 11, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ruthyla | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boston Beauties (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sansa | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | De Pura Sangre | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Flyer | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Josefa | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fernanda | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It Aint My Fault | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stamina Princess | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pazyarmonia | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Powerful Words | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Make a Mint | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Just Like Indy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aztec Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Major Glady’s Team | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Catalina R | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Not Now Rand | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friendly Fella | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizabet | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nothin But Net | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Royalty | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Act | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | More Than Striking | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gran Diamond | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Bonnie | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpilles | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Nicole | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlieanna | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sebastiana | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Peggy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cory Gal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Celestial Orb | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Crush | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fashion Babe | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cat’s J N J | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Natoma | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So Dear | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marsh Harbour | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Congratsrosy | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fiery Princess | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Souper Energizer | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Summer to Remember | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hushed Hijinks | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Intentional Walk | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beachwalker | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turn of Events | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lomaki Force | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Leading Factor | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Maker of an Empire | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winter At Bastogne | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Virginian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Alejandro’s Team | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Extravagant Rosie | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rising Bella | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Carrigan | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Life On the Edge | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yolanda’s Pride | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Babybel | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abarrio Forever | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Field | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alafia | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Centsational | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | General Obvious | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speed App | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quasar Moon | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Krammy Boy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | False Accusation | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accountant Q | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Point | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Step Slew | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Frostmourne | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Projected (GB) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gemonteer | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stirling Drive | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gunnison | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jersey Joe B | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sherpa | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colormepompom | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zalza | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Venezuelan Warrior | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charge Card | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Karen’s Cove | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oskar Blues | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Fine Ride | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Awsum Roar | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Freckles Kan | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Solarte | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Majestic Maiara | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Thanks Mom | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Moonlit Sea | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Alluring Approval | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | It’s Easy to Say | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day by Day | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Distinctive Lady | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cordele | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Same Kinda Crazy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.