December 8, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Shine Like Bobby | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Please | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halo City | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roma Carpe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Truth Hurts | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vigilantes Way | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Forty Factor | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Javelin | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Professor Snape | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Bourbon | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fifty Eight O G | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bootlegger (FR) | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Da Meister | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fun Prospect | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | This Ill Defend | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Glynn County | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Back Charge | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Myamanoi | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justintimeforwine | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sanctuary City | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Forever Wicked | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Distorted Sky | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cowtown | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Voliero | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | True Palace | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Drink to the Clown | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Garland Of Roses S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Miss Imperial | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wildcat Combat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pauseforthecause | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | New Year’s Wish | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Angel At War | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Circle of Love | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sea Sparkle | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Calinas Song | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aubrey Tate | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Kiki | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New York Supreme | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maru | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makingcents | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bankers Daughter | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Havin’ a Party | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Domenica | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ivory Not White | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Irena N Ella | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Fortune’s Fool | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Puttheglassdown | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Sonny Inspired | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onthewaytonevrland (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pulsate | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Cat | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Breez | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coltandmississippi | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Angry Moon | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cerretalto | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | American Rule | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Newly Minted | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lifetime Memory | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carrizo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fangirl | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stonesintheroad | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bridlewood Cat | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Aubrey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | It Justhitthe Wire | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ja’s Malibu | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Control Group | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doups Point | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Tom | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Danebury | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Prophet | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rapt | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Calculated Risker | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Local Counsel | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Singapore Trader | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fall Highweight H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Recruiting Ready | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wonderful Light | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Strike Power | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Happy Farm | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nicodemus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | No Distortion | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seethisquick | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cruising Strong | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High School Crush | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Welsh Gold | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cazilda Fortytales | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mebs Web | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | The New Miami | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tomorrow Tomato | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empress Luciana | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rewarded | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Micro Margarita | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | War Goddess | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bella Invasion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Emerald Banker | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rebel Empress | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.