December 7, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Rose Crown | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Expresso | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lemondropsmyshot | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jennifer’s Arch | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nun of Ours | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Margie’s Rouxbee | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Go My Juliet | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Togarock | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hope’smalindi | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw X. | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stuck in Vegas | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Today Alfie | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stryker Man | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In Charge Halo | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Cane | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Untilwemeetagain | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Amandas Lightening | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now You Rules | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Ready | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Priority | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elisher | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Punky Monkey | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Vista | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vagary | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Melody Rose | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Any Ole Thing | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Cissy | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Neko | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Expections High | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sparkling Red Jet | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fanny Box | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whitebutton | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cool Deal | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honest N Lucky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Salute Elle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Little Gardner | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Dawn | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Total Lilly | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paddle Wheel | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R U Sitting Down | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Running Rosado | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes Madam Speaker | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devastating Beauty | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Moment | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glorieta | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Right On By | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Rae Rae | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Production | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Island Blue | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Byanymeans | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cheryl’s Copy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Word of the Day | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midge’s Magic | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tamariu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gentrified | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tuff Kid | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapitor | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pleasant d’Oro | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Sign | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Rocket | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easter Snap | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Haynesville | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | E Rated | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Allthewaywithtaye | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Whistling Wind | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Cadillac Frankie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 3 | Ebrio | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Alys Appointment | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Haulin’ Freight | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Dewey’s Bull | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Saber Queen | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two With a Ten | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Twist | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Candy Candy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Enduring Lady | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Interatifwithleu | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crider Chase | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kenai Special | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Festive Heir | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Darian | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Amen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Clytee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.