December 6, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Barrel | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast as Cass | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Bagley | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bad Gary | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R B Eye | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lake Show | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bayonce | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Alessandra | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aurora Night | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kristi’s Tiger | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slewbury Park | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chromes Lil Sis | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Dinero | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Docktarri | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grab the Munny | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Savagery | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Fifty Coup | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rineshaft | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Ps Bettin On You | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Desert General | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Short of Ez | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kenny Benny | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Love | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nova | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burn Me Twice | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Seeker | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chrisiscookin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Hardcore Troubador | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Italiano | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Heartfullofstars | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Oil Can Knight | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Portando | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Conquest Cobra | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Blake | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Saratoga Morning | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Owning | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Special | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Love a Honeybadger | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tijori | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silken Spy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Fia | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Ebby | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donut Girl | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Edna | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Saving Sophie | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Visual Magic | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vegas Palm | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cover Version | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Paige Runner | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Catch the Eye | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lily’s Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sunriser | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Unicorn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harliss | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Cat Canyon | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | U S Hero | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bob Again | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Acclamation King | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ziyanair | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Son of a Queen | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | L’Engineer | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artcrilic | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ridgeway | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Suezaaana | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Street Machine | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.