December 6, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr Impressive | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Odds Get Even | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fastdriven | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jefe Grande | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mountain Tree | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Newyork Giant | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarasota Boy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Drill | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tatis | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thankyou Verymuch | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Barbadolla | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Fled the Scene | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andi’s Kitten | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gambla | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laska | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regan Marie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gracie’s Dream | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Slingin Sammy B | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Assume Control | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nothins Free | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Takes Heart | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Untrue | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Babie Monster | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Carotari | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Never Have I Ever (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Explorationist | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spy Ring (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frenchmen Street | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oak Bluffs | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Running for Riz | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Country Singer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sizzling Roma | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beating the Odds | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghaisweetheart | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Susikin | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Angelina | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madelyn’s Dancer | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On With God | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Puro Blanco | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Twirling Star | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smack | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Paynterbynumbers | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pardon My Heart | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Empire Moon | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit to Ride | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fritzi | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Australian Waltz | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Happy Place | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | First in Command | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gran Hombre | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Earthquake | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Consilium | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Excalibur | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point Winner | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Dude | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lodi | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bundi Bundi | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Miami | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | True Heiress | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sweet Yare N Dira | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Miss Claudia | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Blue Eyed Beth | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vilaro | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Play That Tone | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Venezuelan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cory Gal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Distinctly Blue | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Glory Roll | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Talkthetalk | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sammie Sunshine | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Nekia | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Gospel of John | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sister Gema | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hunting Season | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faith N Hope | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Isadorable Aida | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paint the Corners | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trilby | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dixie Princess | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colonels Daughter | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Story | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Dreaming | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Four K’s | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hotty Toddy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reagan’s Odyssey | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Darling | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.