Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 4, 2019

December 4, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kid Forester 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Kaili’s Big Boy 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Bala Falls 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Fahrenheit 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Street Silence 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 D Magician 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Bet Alpha 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rittamajig 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Honey Girl 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Let’s Have Fun 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Five Days in May 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Essa Star 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 Five Sparrows 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Justcall Me Candy 15.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Sunset Phoenix 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Touch of Rouge 1.80 2.8 5-1
5 5 I’ll Take the Gold 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Eli’s Fortune 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Conquest Bad Girl 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 D’s Soul 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Podgora 4.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Super Chocolate 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Coolwater 3.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Cheetahra 6.00 5.3 10-1
14 14 Forest Lass 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kay Syrah Syrah 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Flat Out Fabulous 8.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Shishka 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Caledon Summer 4.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Miss Matilda 5.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Madame Bovery 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Out of Cake 30.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Hidden Question 15.00 9 17-1
4 4 Snow Scene 30.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Hope Garden 20.00 11 21-1
3 3 Miss Lester Murphy 15.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dance the Sky Away 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Playing Smart 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ailis 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 South Beach Sassy 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Petite Amie 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Ring in Silence 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Wind Spun 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Rewrote 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Gabby’s Ballerina 20.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Ducky 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Kingarvie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dotted Line 1.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Agnelli 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Truebelieve 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lakeside Park 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Artiesattheparty 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Dancers Ghost 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 The Reign Man 3.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Baddest Blues 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Under the Eye 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Text Me Up 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Gizmo Flash 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Bossalina 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Artie’s First Kiss 1.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Diamondsinhereyes 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Oxesome 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Candy Mountain 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Descente 3.00 3.6 7-1
16 16 Carolina Grace 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Samurai Queen 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Bridlewise 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Cheekylicious 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Stormy Vision 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Canadian Eh 8.00 9 17-1
7 7 Noble Goddess 10.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Jack’s Memory 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mystery Day 20.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Twentytwentycrest 4.00 9.8 18-1
6 6 Peut Etre 15.00 10.2 19-1
2 2 Classy Vision 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Eumenides 20.00 13 25-1
4 4 Vinyasa 15.00 13.3 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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