Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 4, 2019

December 4, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Good Solution 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Fine Spirit 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Perfect Enough 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Well Written 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Trump’s Kitten 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 South Pointe Drive 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Restart 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Treasure Run 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Nelson Legend 15.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr Atila 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 5 Vinnie Van Go 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Stolen Identity 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Starship Apollo 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 3 Drop Kick 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Florida Cotton 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jamaican 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Tipsy Kitten 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 So Long Chuck 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Bad Student 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Wild Scat Blue 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Tip Sheet 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Summer Spice 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sleeping Giant 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Black Jet 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Pango 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Swagger 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Tenacity Zip 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tale of Kantharos 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Diamond Mint 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Blings Express 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pocket of Candy 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Gabrielleelizabeth 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Midnight Miracle 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Abuela’s Love 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Majestic Maiara 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Tiz Possible Dear 2.50 5 9-1
9 9 Trappe Me Later 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Si Te Vas 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Sonoma Storm 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Sturgeon 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Seven Gems 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Kantharos’ Image 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Joyful Heart 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Zorb 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Harry’s Ontheloose 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Just the Facts 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Earth 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flaming Hot 1.20 2.4 5-1
7 7 Nimble Beast 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Silver Connection 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Inter Miami 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Luxury Suite 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Beyond the Call 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Trinni Dancer 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lady Magica 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Catharsis 2.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Sugar Bolt 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Awsum Roar 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Dancie 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Taylor’s in Orbit 8.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Some Say So 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Midnight Witch 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Tizzire 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 The Gipper 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Fortunate Friends 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Hard Belle 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Nacho Papa 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Tapability 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Trappezoid 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Glory of Florida 3.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Solar Warming 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Year of the Kitten 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Gunslinger (IRE) 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Honey Dont 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Gins and Tins 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Starship Aramis 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Keep It Up 10.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Bunyan’s Axe 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Colin a Winner 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Bluesky Kitten 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Doctor D J 20.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Saturday Gulfstream Park
Begins Sat, Dec 14 12:00 PM ET
Saturday Parx Racing
Begins Sat, Dec 14 12:25 PM ET
Saturday Aqueduct
Begins Sat, Dec 14 12:30 PM ET
Saturday Fair Grounds
Begins Sat, Dec 14 1:00 PM ET
Saturday Woodbine
Begins Sat, Dec 14 1:05 PM ET
Saturday Los Alamitos Thoroughbred
Begins Sat, Dec 14 3:30 PM ET
Saturday Delta Downs
Begins Sat, Dec 14 5:55 PM ET
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