December 4, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Good Solution | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fine Spirit | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Enough | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Well Written | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trump’s Kitten | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | South Pointe Drive | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Restart | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treasure Run | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nelson Legend | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Atila | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vinnie Van Go | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stolen Identity | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Starship Apollo | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Drop Kick | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Florida Cotton | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jamaican | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tipsy Kitten | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Long Chuck | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Student | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Scat Blue | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tip Sheet | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Spice | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sleeping Giant | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Jet | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pango | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Swagger | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tenacity Zip | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Kantharos | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond Mint | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blings Express | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pocket of Candy | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gabrielleelizabeth | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Miracle | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abuela’s Love | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Maiara | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Possible Dear | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trappe Me Later | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Si Te Vas | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sonoma Storm | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sturgeon | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seven Gems | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kantharos’ Image | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joyful Heart | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zorb | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harry’s Ontheloose | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just the Facts | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earth | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flaming Hot | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nimble Beast | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Connection | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inter Miami | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luxury Suite | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond the Call | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trinni Dancer | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Magica | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catharsis | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar Bolt | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awsum Roar | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taylor’s in Orbit | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Some Say So | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Witch | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizzire | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Gipper | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fortunate Friends | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Belle | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nacho Papa | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapability | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trappezoid | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glory of Florida | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Solar Warming | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Year of the Kitten | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honey Dont | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gins and Tins | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starship Aramis | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keep It Up | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bunyan’s Axe | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colin a Winner | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bluesky Kitten | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor D J | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.