December 4, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Bonnie Gray | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Ms Bossy Pants | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raising the Roof | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oleta Inez | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aim Spot | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Blue Suede Ransom | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ruby Red Slippers | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Tator Tot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Powered by Greeley | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gabby’s Freedom | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Seven | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J P’s Pride (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Destiny Awaits | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red White and Loud | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Front Door | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Buyer | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Post Close | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Taylor’s Sense | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scrimmage | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ambassador House | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Love That Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Our Bucket List | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Purple Heart Road | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Costa Alot | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Willy | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ch Bern | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Savannah Dandy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Sexy | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Attempted Sin | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wristlet | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Second Guess | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Proper Cross | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Causeur | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buffon | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Complete Me | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Journey | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Brew | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Private Reality | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil and Tuff | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Western Star | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indicatif | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flash Dancerluck | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Absolute Drama | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Japanese | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jed’s Warrior | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coco Amod | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guilty Again | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fireman Sid | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delaware Basin | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Steppin’ Star | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Song N a Cat | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Marvin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mediamaker | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashing Angelbaby | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pops Legacy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Untilwemeetagain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Arctic Peace | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Henny | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kelley’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah’s Prayer | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Reina Isabel | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | And She Scores | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Selma T | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Senorita Closin In | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hinton | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forevamo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nomo Ron | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jimi’s a Star | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pound for Pound | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nate’s Attack | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valyrian | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s So Bossy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hanging Lake | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Osceola Rose | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Little Brown Eyes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Remembrance Rose | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zugersee | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aurora Pine | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roll On Baby | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peach’s Swan Song | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gallop’s Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Rapids | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ideal Mallory | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.