Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 3, 2019

December 3, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aleda Lutz 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Symphony of Love 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Don’ttouchmystuff 1.40 SCRATCH
7 5 Damselfly 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Sweet Rebellion 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 La Bella Chica 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Lovely O’Prado 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fire Command 4.00 SCRATCH
1A 1 Pablo’s Dream 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 High Math 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Dearest Ella 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 4 Taylor’s Belle 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Layla’s Voyage 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Iza One 2.00 4.2 8-1
7A 7 Candy Boss 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Private Party 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Self Start 1.20 2.6 5-1
6 5 Ogeechee 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Refunded 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tempestuous Angel 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Smart and Tough 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Pirate 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Incubator 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Best Choice 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Gotta Get Away 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Rings of Jupiter 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Star Player 8.00 4.8 9-1
8A 7 Charming Indy 12.00 6 11-1
9 8 Salutation 30.00 6 11-1
2A 2 Howboutdempats 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Jibber Jabber 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Tomater Gator 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Delta Outlaw 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Cardio Cowboy 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Golden Exchange 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Phish Fan 4.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Komrad 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Cardcounter 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Chasing My Halo 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Star Sign 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Commandeering 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 4 Don Polo 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 O’Kram 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 High Flying Guy 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Bumperdoo 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Diamond Setter 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Friday Mass 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Dazzle Me 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 6 Chevy to the Levy 1.60 3.6 7-1
9 8 She Makes Me Smile 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Gator Girl 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Baltimore Beauty 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Saratoga by Design 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Abuela Loca 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Dereya 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ruby Bleu 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Bolita Boyz 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Jump for Alex 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 The Right Path 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 War Bridle 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Red Razzo 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Infuriated 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Inalienable Rights 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Unnamed Soldier 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Smart Rags 2.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Awe Mun 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Pahall Revear 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Incidentally 4.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Tu Exageres 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Iiidentical 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Fairly Bold 20.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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