December 1, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Runnuer | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wound Tight | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Musawaat (GB) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Ay Em | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Captivate | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battle of Memphis (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colosi | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Claws | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Farquhar | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Channel Crossing | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Beam | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hermaphrodite (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Play Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sunny Dale | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Stormy D | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Too Hot for Curlin | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Tokyo | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Surreptitious | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exchange West | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Cecil B. Demille S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Encoder | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Albert Park | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Road | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goliad | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Smooth Like Strait | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fore Left | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hariboux (GB) | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kanderel | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Beast | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Jostar | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Go Time | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Last Opportunity (IRE) | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Much Better | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Instagrand | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Horse Greedy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Milo | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Street | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Hollywood Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Overdue | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | United | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsinthepost (FR) | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zestful | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Promise | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chosen Vessel | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Storm (CHI) | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Toffee | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road Test | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiki Bar Logic | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Base | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Check Six | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Matriarch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Got Stormy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Juliet Foxtrot (GB) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toinette | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Significant Form | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Painting Corners | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Hill | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Unusual | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daddy Is a Legend | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simply Breathless (GB) | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lakerball | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Giza Goddess | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chipper | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coalinga Road | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Audace | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Fire | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rookie Mistake | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Very Irish | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Squared Straight | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | U. S. Danger | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bill the Commish | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hawk Hill | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Minimal Mistake | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Affection | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wildman Jack | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Dad | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Violence | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blackout (FR) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freiburg | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rigoletto (SWI) | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreams of Valor | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Heights | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Seam | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Erotic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Make It a Triple | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Lookintogeteven | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Antigone | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Ella | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Parkour | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | M Is for Magic | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cherokee Maiden | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassyserb | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Richies Noble Girl | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Noble Hearted | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Time Grammy | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Augure | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reducta (GB) | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Undisturbed | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I Give Up | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.