November 30, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wonder Run | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elkhorn Poet | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpha to Omega | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reckless Ransom | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burgameister | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maga Man | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Steve | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Outrun | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Away Ralph | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prayer Boy | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cachito | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Mozo | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canyon Fire | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speedy Huntur | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cat’s Shining Star | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hitter | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Halos Prayer | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tentwelvefourteen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blushing Dreamer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Sunday | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Onetwomanyrockets | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Is My Prayer | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Easter Lily | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gal | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Jen | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Loveinsky | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | My Pal Torres | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pepper Prince | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cougar Country | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B B Special | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Sorry Ruston | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theboyzdelight | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stihl Harbor | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stick | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jade Star | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ty’s Agenda | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seattle Brew | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kinky Kim | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Song and a Saint | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harlans Warrior | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Gianna | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Show’em the Heat | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aloha Kai | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Costa Sugar | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Becca’s Whisper | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Arwen | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Island Blue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Quick Rae Rae | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Four Princesses | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 1.40 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Goldie | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Memory Magic | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reachreachreach | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinley Cash | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suckerforagrey | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Realmente Calmada | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Judy’s Prize | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Haze | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Your My Sunshine | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Margaux Mania | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Priority | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Galaxy | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snap It | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Connie Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | All Star Flyer | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harbor Knight | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Mo U No | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victory Trip | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlies Ticket | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Cool | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | J C’s in Town | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shae’s Day | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Little Man | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Belinda | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Afleet | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little T | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Exchange | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Selenas Jewel | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Special One | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fickle Flash | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tenacious Faith | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cuteness Apriority | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blessed Villana | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pepper Blossom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | G Nanny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.