November 30, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Knifes Edge | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsthattime | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Color War | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K P Backtothewall | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taco Waco | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bean and the Bug | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jamason | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Veinstrike | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Jimmy Durante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Alms | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | A G Indy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Princesa Caroline | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Guitty (FR) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Seahawk Lisa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Overjoyed | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Laura’s Light | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Homehome | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wise Rachel | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Applecross (IRE) | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookintogeteven | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Ella | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Almost a Factor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Dapper | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Club Aspen | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Will Not | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shuster | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Riding With Dino | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mandy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Vitamin | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pastor Mike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Square Deal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Red Carpet H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lostintranzlation | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strike At Dawn | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiny Tina | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Journey | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zuzanna | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vibrance | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Justinian | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Equity | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hardboot | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cabin John | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boogalute | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Order and Law | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Original Intent | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Seabiscuit H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Om | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Earl | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Boyne (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Life (FR) | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Next Shares | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ritzy A. P. | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ronald R (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Andesh (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Eagle | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Golden Principal | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Danceformunny | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Diggin Gold | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Night On the Town | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Classy Ruler | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Drama for Mama | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gidgetta | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Violent Speed | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colombian Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Speighty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Hollywood Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Forza | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Neptune’s Storm | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nolde | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Digital Age (IRE) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Standard Deviation | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Henley’s Joy | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mr Dumas | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Uncle Bull | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Originaire (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reedley | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eskimo Roses | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Barrel | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jen Go Unchained | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saddle Bar | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Image | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Hedges | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surprise Fashion | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Temple Knights | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eddy Forever | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tizamagician | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impossible Task | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ekklesia | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Poe | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K P All Systems Go | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Landaa | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dude’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fredericktown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cosmo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Sunshine | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Champers | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | One Fast Bro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Media Blitz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.