November 29, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Wildly Grand | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flash Hands | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ella’s Lil Star | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Space Cowgirl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cool Sis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lovely Teton | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Buy Me the Ring | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moonfield | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tedders Angel | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moveslikeadancer | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamite Daughters | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marcia Rose | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Supersport Sally | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wise Woman | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlotte’s Wish | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jewels of Sorce | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Pass | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Guilty | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bayou | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Production | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fazio | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Far Out Time | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Navy | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tensas Toddy | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kapenta | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Factor | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shaboxxo | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One King Cat | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Randy Paul | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Actif One | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hardly Seen Slim | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Due Apeal | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeyainthetestbarn | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Parlay Pete | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rahil | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liken It | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hummel One | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shack Partout | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empresario | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kurts Raider | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nate’s Fury | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Absolut Neworleans | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texican | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trapper Peak | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy City | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Dude | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oneholylion | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Toga | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roaring Star Fire | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Little Rockstar | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Show’em the Heat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Passion | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Molly Golightly | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Film Study | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itsnotmyjob | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calaja | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Oretta | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Be Gone | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Void | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Runner | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Siri | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lunar Light | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zendelphian | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ship Stalker | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Berko | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reddy to Bet | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Masterly | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wabash Cannonball | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alex’s Turn | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Canrunalittle | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash of Pepper | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Friend of Dubai | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ray’s Kimua | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ridethruthestorm | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Grip Tight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hugo’s Last Song | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kensley’s Hippie | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zydeco Star | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Ruby | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tdz What a Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.