November 28, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Chesa Charm | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Forever | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Quick | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jacqueline D | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stars Wilburn | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Graded On a Curve | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Odds | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Playwright | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Danny California | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Albie | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Brigade | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dashing Dan | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pipes | 1.80 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Vincent | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River Knight | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knight Frost | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mutakaamil | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Break | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superfan | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fabulous Fun | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alan’s Argument | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Sunshine | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Danzing Dunhill | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upham | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rapstorerocks | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Danza | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | False Alarm | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inaceptable | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zuzudini | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Burner | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tipazo | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drink to the Clown | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Central Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chapalu | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pixelate | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Alpha Sixty Six | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Get Smokin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Old Chestnut | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Man | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stanhope | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Prince of Pharoahs | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Haired Boy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Ready | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vanzzy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Homeland | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ashraq | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Kringle | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alphastest | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running Violence | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild William | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lundqvist | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Fly Zone | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brockmoninoff | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Front | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s to Blame | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I’m Elmer J Fudd | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Seed Money | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Coach Villa | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Da Meister | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Big Wonder | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack the Cat | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 16A | 16 | Chuckles | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Time Expired | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fall Highweight H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Firenze Fire | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Recruiting Ready | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lewisfield | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonderful Light | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Farm | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strike Power | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stan the Man | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Distortion | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seethisquick | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Winter Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nay Lady Nay (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feel Glorious (GB) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Atomic Blonde | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bellera | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monaco Princess | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sorrentina Lemon | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tass | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Panther Hit | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | On the Town | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dyna Passer | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tuned (GB) | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Fit | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Team Win | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shelter Island (FR) | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Cold Hard Cash | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aintitfunkynow | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justintimeforwine | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ringgood | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sanctuary City | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Forever Wicked | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Diannesimpazible | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empire Express | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zipalong | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Political | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beg to Differ | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brunate | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spiritual King | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cray Cray | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yah Huh | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.