November 27, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Skip Chaser | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paint I Ain’t | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chan Man | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galloping Boots | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Kip | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fly Guy Rak | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’smyluckymoment | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Pulpit | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Christeana’s Kiss | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joy’s Rally Finale | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zionica | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adieu Mallory | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agirlnamedsyd | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Batty | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Cat | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Untuttable Speed | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madelyn’s Time | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lexi Em | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mane Priority | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wish for Interest | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Run Far Rylee | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Little Charlie | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Michel | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Scale | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little T | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Granfathersleugirl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Red Rose | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honest N Lucky | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flash N Go | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Thirsty | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Handsome Girl | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Any Ole Thing | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outoftheballpark | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Party | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Enticing Shaq | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor My Speed | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Xiroma | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lauriano | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Box | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Ander | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brown’s Monkey | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | G Cisive | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A. P.’s Prince | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Relentless Attack | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Suddenly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Donna’s Court | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bettercalljohn | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Booth Road Shine | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pierpont | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Colliery | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunnyonastormyday | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zmor Aristocat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beta Jet | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Front Money Morgan | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Argument Won | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peace Treaty Pat | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lost Prado | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Star Gaze | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pitcher | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mila’s Gold | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wakeway Dancer | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fortune Got Even | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Blazin’ Asian | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scotty G | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Standing Man | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Boss | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reach the Circle | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suadade | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Ugly | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jersey Cat Tale | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D W Strong | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dial Em In | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Asucar’s Match | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laneys Love | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kick N Kiss | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jeweled Crown | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Manassas | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Blindness | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaky Freak | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Taylor | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seismic | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smart Buck | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.