November 24, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Kentan Road | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Stealthediamonds | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Love a Honeybadger | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Littlefirefighter | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Flower Point | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Smoovie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Edna | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Norski | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Calder Vale | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Lucky Wally | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | King of Leon (ARG) | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Fratelli | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Darkhawk | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Severin | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Wild Cat Canyon | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
9 | 9 | Imperator | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Creeds Revenge | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Excellent Sunset (IRE) | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Don’t Blame Judy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Fiery Lady | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Ms Peintour | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Maxim Rate | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Harmless | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Renny’s Lady (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Melissa Jane (GB) | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Biddy Duke | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Perfect Rush | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Lovely Lilia | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Vegan | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Bella Renella | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
3 | 2 | Win Often | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | White Velvet | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
6 | 5 | Screen Gossip | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Too Much Heaven | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Tyrannical Rex | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Shandling | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Lincoln City | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Exsqueeze Me | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Tromador | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Montana Moon | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Kakistocracy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Cape Point | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 4 | Camby | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 1 | Railman | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 6 | Gate Speed | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
10 | 8 | Next Gen | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
9 | 7 | Baby Gronk | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
11 | 9 | Mayan Warrior | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
7 | 5 | Starring John Wain | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
12 | 10 | It’s Tiz Time | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
5 | 3 | Silken Prince | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
13 | 11 | Lord Adare | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
4 | 2 | Rineshaft | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
1 | 1 | After You | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | High Five | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | North County Guy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | M Town Gem | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Red King | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Buckstopper Kit | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | French Getaway | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Unapologetic | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Mobou | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
2 | 2 | Crystal Tribe (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
4 | 4 | Soberano (FR) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cary Grant S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Fashionably Fast | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Oliver | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ultimate Bango | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Shades of Victory | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Grinning Tiger | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Rick’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Jet Set Ruler | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Cono | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Jamming Eddy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Push Through | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Perfect Wager | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Claim of Passion | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Coast of Roan | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Asaro | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
1 | 1 | Brimstoned | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | No Name Fred | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.