November 24, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prairie Fire | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Kahen | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl of Tosconova | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gracetown | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Bird | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tequila Sunday | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | The Honest Toun | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy Jazz | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Paynter’s Prize | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Champagne Chills | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lorcan | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Adversary | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sidd Finch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | My Primo | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Brown Eyed Boy | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Snow Lion | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | El Sangru | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hurricane Andrew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Dozing | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frostmourne | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Noble Indy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Offering Plan | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Secretary At War | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Dynamax Prime | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Covey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zumurudee | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Compound It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 4 | Backsideofthemoon | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gunnison | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Radiantrithym | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Malibu Mischief | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Free Kitty | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cover Photo | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mi Mi | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Karen’s Gem | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trouble for Skylar | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quick Entry | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Stormin Norman | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quest for Fire | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon N Rye | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legion Storm | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mac’s Revolution | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 9 | Power Up Paynter | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sanctuary City | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Scuttlebuzz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Giant Shoes | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Dangerous Edge | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Our Troubadour | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Notorious Flirt | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Go Rudy Go | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devilish Mood | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Tapizearance | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | North Side | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fivestar Bandit | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jack of Clubs | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Valid Quest | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Worth a Shot | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Opt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vincento | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Manifest Destiny | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Southern King | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The J Y | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 6 | Durkin’s Call | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | El Hermano | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Shamrock Kid | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chic N Wilbur | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nutzforboltz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Storm Prophet | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gold for the King | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | T Loves a Fight | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Binkster | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sicilia Mike | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Money | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arthur’s Hope | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Boy Tate | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kazmania | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hot Brown | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Joke’s On You | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disciplanarian | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bulwark | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Freudian Fate | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Clamor | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Operation Roses | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dutchmen Forever | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Apex Predator | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Constructor | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quickflash | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Boy Mo | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.