November 23, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Savagery | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Concord Jet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Owning | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bird | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Insider | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zorich | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | The Longest Night | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caribbean (AUS) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C Falls | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Challah | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mongolian Legend | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khalfani | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dipping In | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magically Honored | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Going to Vegas | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keepinmypromise | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lace | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lizzario | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Establish Justice | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucia’s Design | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Pearl | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flamigo Bay (IRE) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Message | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Del Mar May | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Chocolate | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Ebby | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Road Rager | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Andyoushallreceive | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seaside Dancer | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Factor of Two | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Querelle | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swing Thoughts | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clockstrikestwelve | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Romance | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Creed | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Italia (SPA) | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Garth | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ancient Warrior | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Show Business | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Snap Chap | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heros Reward | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Thunder | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Fury | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winners Club | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Port Saint Joe | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Never Easy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prodigal Son | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shining Through | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rijeka (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Scents | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | More Ice | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Appreciated | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | One Flew South | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hartel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Native Diver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roadster | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midcourt | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Thirty Five | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Extra Hope | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leading Score | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Zestful | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Friendly Outthedor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peytons Path | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camps Bay | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Salah | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takeo | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turn the Switch | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Musketier | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chase and Colorado | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold N Grand | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No Parking Here | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rightful | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | My Indy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.