November 22, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bens Last Call | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truly Elite | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ginger Sky | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leonard’s Bay | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itstartswithadrink | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Backed | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seventyseven Stone | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gigantic Breeze | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nashville Knight | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Vewy Vewy Quiet | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Bankable | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Almasty | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Vienna | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bazoo | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Starlet | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Under City Lights | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valuable Pillow | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Egbert | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Chopper | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itmakesmewonder | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nu Baby Daddy | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Monsoon Rain | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Nina | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Biondetti’s Choice | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special for You | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Auntie Katherine | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Mist | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slydini | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bel Tempo | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glib Marylin | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Articulate | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Joyful Cat | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Choose Hope | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swilling | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mariposa Belle | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Fever | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ygritte | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thrill of Giants | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Society’s Tiger | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cheek to Cheek | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flight Deck | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frankie Barone | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Western Crusader | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duke of Miami | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unbounded Spirit | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Spring | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sumerian Bell | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Analyzer | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Distinct Passion | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Maximum Perfection | 2.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Can’t Hide From Me | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D Magician | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starry Messenger | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hushin’ Russian | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Villageofvibank | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Walkabout Creek | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tobruk | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colleen’s Sailor | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phil in the Blank | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoky Blues | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get’erdonebud | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Brother | 1.60 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Grit | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wall Street Wolf | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.