November 22, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Courtesy Shuffle | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy But Sassy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | West Coast Sky | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ba York | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blessingsofliberty | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tap Toboggan | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sucina | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Key | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carousel Marge | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ying Yue | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olive Kat | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Skiff | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Love You | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foggy Dreams | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Jewel | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Master Distiller | 1.40 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Power Back | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Shipman | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Times | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winston’s Way | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Way | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | State of Mine | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Compass Course | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tempted by Tito’s | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Sides | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfectlyintune | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Myladycharlotte | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Echo of Victory | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bodhicitta | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spanxamillion | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molly’s Dolly | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Annapola | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sergio’s Panchita | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Not Interested | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | One Odd Story | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Broadway Trouper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Honorable Profit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Luna de Fuego | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Personal Server | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Justin Front | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Once in a Lifetime | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boat Over the Hill | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Given | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Macho Danny | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Moonstruck | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Son | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Analyze Your Risk | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amphitrite | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diva of Seville | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockford Girl | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Bam Bam | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irishrush | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Policy Mistake | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Dancin Queen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Melisande | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Speedtospare | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Meo Desperado | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sensational Notion | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Matters | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patriotic Quest | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expect Drama | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Clay Road | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crazed | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Out Mine | 2.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quickhatch | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12A | 12 | Kierland | 5.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Special Intention | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Boots | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bucked Tooth | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dapper Mun | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Call Triple A | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seany P | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Forgiven | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Danube | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caneel Bay | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Catonsville | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Isabella’s Magic | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | No Honor No Deal | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quick Man | 30.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | A Rose by Any Name | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Forthegreatergood | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bayano | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Auld Lange Syne | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dyna’s Knight | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Up Against It | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daper’s Drink | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Im the Game | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Man | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tophat N Whitetie | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boppin Road | 50.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodluckchuck | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.