November 22, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Short of Ez | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Puriano | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn Day | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle March | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | For Him | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rmanie’s Grey Suit | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Best Chance | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Stiff | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bamboozler | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Big Hoof Dynamite | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kadesh | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Handsome Michael | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mulholland Highway (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jamason | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Blues Rapper | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Storie Blue | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmic Cowgirl | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rare Find | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last First Kiss | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Big Blue Nation | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Saralin | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Govenor Cinch | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mainframe Judy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fly the Sky | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delp | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gorky Park | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Go Time | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Commander (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Carnelian Hero | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Extractor | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Isla’s Toy | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Tony | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baltimore Beecho | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slewbury Park | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Radio Tim | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Precher | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Persepolis | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kynance (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carressa | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cyrielle | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Meso | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kookie Gal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Claudelle | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dearborn | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Queen | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | So Gucci | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Catoca | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Incredibly Lucky | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Factor | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mongolian Empire | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whoa Nessie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nocherylikemychery | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ride Sally Ride | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Creer | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | California Kook | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kissable U | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mamas Got Cash | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Time Grammy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lakaya | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Phoenix Tears | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Via Alpina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sassyserb | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Too Much Smoke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Slew’s Screen Star | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.