November 22, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shannon’s Girl | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Gracely | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Home | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ghostly Beauty | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jasminesque | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gottahaveaholiday | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Buddy’s Memory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Happyandiknowit | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blahnik | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Flying Pleasantly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Our Ticket | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Northern Haze | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Absentee | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Thesis | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Family Biz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Carthon | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rucksack | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nan’s Plan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Red Hot Dame | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appletini | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eight Oaks | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Its a Chance | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dovey Lovey | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pins and Needles | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dazzling Speed | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Orsay | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost Ticket | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apurate | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Vanessa | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love of My Heart | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jazzy Lady | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cherokee Song | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empress Amelia | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 6 | Guns of Steel | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Playthatfunnymusic | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bitumen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Sicarii | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mills | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fleet Irish | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | They Shot Sonny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malthael | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Monkeyseemonkeydo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Betterment | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bail Out | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | North Dakota | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Estill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stare Decisis | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shiloh Lane | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Dude | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | My Roxy Girl | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Way | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breaking Bread | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Year’s Wish | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Deal | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Figure It Out | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golconda (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Aunt Babe | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | My Sacred Place | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rejected Again | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Aleph | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Victory Boulevard | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Wicked Charm | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | John Want Revenge | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Goneonamission | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | David’s Gem | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pacquiao | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.