November 20, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Mine the Coin | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Impunity | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Oroscopo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Azzedine (FR) | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cool Your Boots | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No No Noah | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bridgetothefuture | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coast to Coast | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Fenomeno | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 4 | Analyzethisandthat | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | My Brothersledge | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Readyforprimetime | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No Bang No Boom (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 6 | Our Honor | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Won’t | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 3 | Inscom | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elenzee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Jo | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Northern Haze | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fooch | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Beaux Arts | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Three Technique | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Bombastic | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Polar Bear Pete | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hockey Puck | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Him She Kisses | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | The Great Johanna | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Amos | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Two Cent Tootsie | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freddymo Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Belleza | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Bridge too Far | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Dancing Slippers | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | That Is Key | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Brovia | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Johnny Wishbone | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Imperial Brew | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Guy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Amanjena | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Run for Boston | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fotis | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Dawn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Inclunation | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shandian | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Upham | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nextstop Pokipc | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Dan the Man Can | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Ride | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | False Alarm | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Stash My Money | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Victory Boulevard | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Tempesta | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Elite Mission | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | David’s Gem | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alite | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yo for the Yoyo | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tipazo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Drink to the Clown | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Other Things Equal | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shock Therapy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kumar | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Later Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Super Silver | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Internet of Things | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Morning | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Complexity | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Power | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hawaiian Noises | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fuel the Bern | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavy Roller | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Appointment | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Da Berg | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Plus Seven | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Talespin | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gongheifatchoy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gratto Swing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Ridolfo | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Candy Smile | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Well in Tune | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Honour | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.