November 18, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Daydream | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runningforhome | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War of the North | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ronin Warrior | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Richie Goes Global | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gaucho | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liar Side Chat | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Piggybank | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Empty Nestr | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brew Dog | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Creedibility | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Risaalaat | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Will Take Over | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | True Upgrade | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lady Warbucks | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mrs. Crews | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Risque’s Treasure | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Karabessa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Altar of Speed | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lord Simba | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mantle | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roanie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu At Midnight | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Petulant Delight | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Komrad | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hesgotawaywithwrds | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Don B | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free for Nothing | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silverzar | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diagonal | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shiloh Lane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spartak | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rated Special | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Danzig Partner | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asbury Ave | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fox Z | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elregal | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lt. Columbo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hope Drive | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Mad Mary | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Woman Flyer | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jazzy J | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grandma Gertie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Glorious Mystery | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lorden’s Love | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Golden Vale | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Street Appeal | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Cat Gee | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Verrazano Vittoria | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Habibi | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deep Canyon | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Wise Trade | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellamy Cat | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Artemus Bridge | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | War Bridle | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Weed | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Kid Rocks | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Aspen Xtreme | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Superfly | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nobiz Like Jetbiz | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Star Sign | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Hero | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bumperdoo | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | He’s Got Talent | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Li’l J | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Soul P Say | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Colorado Grandslam | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hot N Spicy Love | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rings of Jupiter | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Charming Indy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Good Save | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Kisses | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Salutation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Navy Commander | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vouch | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D T Goodie | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Bleu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Grasshoppin | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Devine Dental | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Infuriated | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | His Royal Majesty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goddess of Cash | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aleda Lutz | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Next Queen | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magical Time | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Symphony of Love | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Salty | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Bella Chica | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wrote to a Diva | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smarty Socks | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Southern Aggie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Born to Win | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cherry Noire | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.