November 17, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Fiction | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silence Breakers | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cryptic Grip | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truebelieve | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ringdana | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mocal | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Have a Souper Day | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artie My Boy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clayton | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Inclusive | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Vinny | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judiths Cougar | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Mercury | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bahamian Park | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sparkish | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Im No Saint | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Breed’s Hill | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Say It Again Artie | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild About Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Embrace My Uncle | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Optimystical | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Hambone | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Crusader | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Torah’s Blessing | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Firmly Grounded | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Vinnie | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Juskiddin | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Silence | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Conquer the Breeze | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sundance Hit | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mac | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stellatara | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pressure Front | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Eyes Touched | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Deep Maganta | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oxesome | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wassup Buttercup | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Golden Lotus | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quietly Quick | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hassah (GB) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Florist | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hush Buffy | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Can’tcatchtheraxx | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Saucy | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugati | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Hungary | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Path | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guestimation | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Self Inflicted | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Fire | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | He’s a Gizmo | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overbearing | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Second Encore | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Championship Alley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Brynlie | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A B Codeofhonor | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Black Sage | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Mysterious | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Warning You | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready’s Princess | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Court Time | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freshieintheforest | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Heydon’s Case | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goodoldhockeygame | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Red Fever | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cummings Road | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Conqueror Galactus (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cat Zapper | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Starry Messenger | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Areocentric | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Get My Gist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Donnie Brasco | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Empire | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Going | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chilling Secret | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toxicologist | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lauderdale | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thanks Again | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thxforbeinmyfriend | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Uno Champ | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allium | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bear Treasure | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.