November 17, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Otis Otis Otis | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kevins Chioce | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Son of Darkness | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Occhi d’Oro | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scorpion Dynasty | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stay Hydrated | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boston Light | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inspiring Justice | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prota | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Lad | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Phyllis Driller | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justenuff Hope | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | If You Only Knew | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hallucination | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finishing School | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Supergirl Power | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Classical Lady | 2.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Savannah’s Dream | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgia Bonnet | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Kisskiss Telltell | 3.50 | 16.7 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Keeneasabean | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glamorous Thunder | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pablo’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic Vow | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Willthisshipsail | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Cathy | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz a Tribute | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Claire Bear | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taylor’s Belle | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stoneheart Lady | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Layla’s Voyage | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Phish Fan | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Notable | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polished Steel | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gurt Boys | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rydell | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sunshine Sperry | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Great Samurai | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lunar Rover | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | P J’s Bad Boy | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truly a Moon Shot | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | To the Victor | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Collin’s Smile | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | El Potro | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Good Save | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Malibu High | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Snow Forecast | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hendaya | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trunk of Money | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Addison | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Discreet Sister | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fleeterthan | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Di | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Your Pal | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yours Completely | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Incubator | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Manolete | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nileator | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quality Asset | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Robert | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Harbor | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Metaphorical | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poshsky | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sight Line | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | County Corrections | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Half Ton of Fun | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Refuseing | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Pirate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 6 | Flat Out Beautiful | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Koan | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap the Mark | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seat of Honor | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | O’Kram | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Irish Meadow | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Passport | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Commandeering | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Philly Completely | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blue Eyed Girl | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amandasromeo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shimmering Moon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C C’s Cup of Tea | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Shine | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Norma’s Charm | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Not Leaving | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Barbarian | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapidez | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lion and the Wolf | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.