November 17, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Bourbon in May | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Scoreswhenhewants | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Wild Weekend | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | River Knight | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Knockout Punch | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Montatham | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Aladdin Sane | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Hardest Part (GB) | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Eighty Seven North | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Double Happiness | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
11 | 10 | Fika | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Cold Hearted Cat | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Roziere | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Barbara P | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 9 | Go Zappem | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Alreadycelebrating | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Diamond Darlin | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 6 | Herwaze | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Alexacrat | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Peter’s Project | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Professor Snape | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Javelin | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Blame the Thief | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Shalako | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Neighborhood Bully | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Armament | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Orpheus (ARG) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Mr. Alec | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Cross Border | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Uhtred | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | In Equality | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Gauguin (GER) | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Baffin Bay | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Desperado | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Morning Breez | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Fled | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Shiraz | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | The Caretaker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 6 | Outrageous Bet | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Wicked Trick | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 4 | American Rule | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Constant Knight | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
9 | 7 | Strike | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Financialstability | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Six Percent | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Invest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 6 | Irish Valor | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Pipes | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Turbulence | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Beachside | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Danny California | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Perjury Trap | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Candy Tycoon | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Croi Mor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Basie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Brice | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
9 | 8 | Scanno | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Sunsation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Voodoo Zip | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 10 | War Stopper | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
12 | 11 | Gufo | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Jedi Master | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
16 | 16 | Myamanoi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Breithorn | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
15 | 15 | Cowtown | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Feeling Dangerous | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Paint Music for Me | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Ailish | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | Codrington | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Andretta | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Flush | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
13 | 13 | Alvernia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Mz Seb Pat | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
12 | 12 | Birthday Gift | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
10 | 10 | Saratoga Style | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
14 | 14 | Peggy Sue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Tappanzee | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Tiz a Kitten | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Winifred J | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Magic Fairy | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
11 | 11 | Bull Feathers | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
15 | 15 | Tequila Sunday | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Notebook S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Harris Bay | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Ny Traffic | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Moonachie | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Dream Bigger | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Scilly Cay | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Mission Wrapitup | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Bank On Shea | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | 15 | Officer Hutchy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Welsh Gold | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Cruising Strong | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
16 | 16 | Maru | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Top Hat Invasion | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | High School Crush | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
12 | 11 | Our Lady of Winloc | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
10 | 10 | Emerald Banker | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Gringotts | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | The New Miami | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Tomorrow Tomato | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
13 | 12 | Empress Luciana | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
11 | 11 | Eye’m Gone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Holiday Belle | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Rewarded | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
14 | 14 | More Diamonds | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.