Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 17, 2019

November 17, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bourbon in May 1.20 2.1 4-1
3 3 Scoreswhenhewants 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Wild Weekend 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 River Knight 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Knockout Punch 30.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Montatham 4.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Aladdin Sane 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hardest Part (GB) 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Eighty Seven North 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Double Happiness 3.50 3.8 7-1
11 10 Fika 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 5 Cold Hearted Cat 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Roziere 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Barbara P 8.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Go Zappem 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Alreadycelebrating 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Diamond Darlin 50.00 7 13-1
7 6 Herwaze 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Alexacrat 50.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Peter’s Project 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Professor Snape 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Tale of Mist 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Javelin 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Blame the Thief 2.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Shalako 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Neighborhood Bully 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Armament 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Orpheus (ARG) 8.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Alec 1.60 2.7 5-1
6 6 Cross Border 1.40 2.9 6-1
1 1 Uhtred 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 In Equality 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Gauguin (GER) 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Baffin Bay 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Desperado 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Morning Breez 1.40 3.1 6-1
4 3 Fled 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Shiraz 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 The Caretaker 2.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Outrageous Bet 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Wicked Trick 2.00 SCRATCH
5 4 American Rule 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Constant Knight 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 7 Strike 4.50 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Financialstability 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Six Percent 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Invest 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Irish Valor 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Pipes 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Turbulence 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Beachside 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Danny California 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Perjury Trap 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Candy Tycoon 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Croi Mor 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Basie 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Brice 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Scanno 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Sunsation 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Voodoo Zip 4.00 SCRATCH
11 10 War Stopper 20.00 6.1 12-1
12 11 Gufo 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Jedi Master 15.00 6.3 12-1
16 16 Myamanoi 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Breithorn 12.00 6.9 13-1
15 15 Cowtown 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Feeling Dangerous 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Paint Music for Me 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ailish 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Codrington 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Andretta 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Flush 4.00 5.3 10-1
13 13 Alvernia 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mz Seb Pat 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Birthday Gift 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Saratoga Style 20.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 Peggy Sue 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tappanzee 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Tiz a Kitten 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Winifred J 6.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Magic Fairy 3.50 9.3 18-1
11 11 Bull Feathers 30.00 9.4 18-1
15 15 Tequila Sunday 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Notebook S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Harris Bay 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Ny Traffic 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Moonachie 3.50 3.4 7-1
7 7 Dream Bigger 1.60 3.5 7-1
2 2 Scilly Cay 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Mission Wrapitup 30.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Bank On Shea 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Officer Hutchy 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Welsh Gold 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Cruising Strong 3.00 3.1 6-1
16 16 Maru 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Top Hat Invasion 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 High School Crush 3.50 4.6 9-1
12 11 Our Lady of Winloc 15.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Emerald Banker 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Gringotts 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 The New Miami 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Tomorrow Tomato 10.00 6.1 11-1
13 12 Empress Luciana 12.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Eye’m Gone 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Holiday Belle 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Rewarded 20.00 6.9 13-1
14 14 More Diamonds 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.