November 16, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Piven | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Express | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Ro | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salieri | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marten River | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mas Chikilin | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pugsley | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Court Battle | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Makemineamanhattan | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You’re Batman | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crumlin Night | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seattle Treasure | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish River | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Mine | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vilma | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – South Ocean S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Owlette | 0.80 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wake Up Maggie | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Dream | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gun Society | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bambarra Bay | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | November Fog | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cheekylicious | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Peggy’s Cove | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Rapiduno | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mamita’s Chica | 3.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Goddess | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Canadian Eh | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peut Etre | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Millbank Magic | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pirano | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Vision | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twentytwentycrest | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Tea Blonde | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Easy Hi | 20.00 | 14.6 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In Pursuit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Factor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Espiritu de Luna | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mustn’t Grumble | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trading Bay | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin to Fly | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady of the Hour | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bells of War | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Words of Gold | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Slip Kid | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Talk | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Fly Over | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dani’s Victory | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ben Lomond | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riker | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drink in My Hand | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coleyville | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rocket Plan | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grom | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Animal Krackers | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cosmic Experience | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Better Boogie | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Town Dancer | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Act of Bob | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord of Legends | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King of Gypsies | 8.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chairman Fiftyfive | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Benevida | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Descente | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Samurai Queen | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bridlewise | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ami’s Link | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Along Dede | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chill Out | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Treasure Finder | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eumenides | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happycrest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Cefalo | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cheeky Pint | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sararenda | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Martini Sue | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Good to Me | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chairman’s Venom | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Noguez | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Natural Habitat | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Femme Soldat | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deep Maganta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fresh Dreams | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Black Bess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ishiyaya | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fact Checking | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Coal | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fresh Princess | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldmine Glory | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Priceless | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moksgmol | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Tillie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mintaka Belle | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Dancing Quietly | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hidden Artifact | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Butilovesyababe | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holysnapeneyeballs | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slam | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing With Zorro | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | We Take Checks | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tale of Ronin | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marcus | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Street Cat Sam | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pineda | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cry Bao | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Seventyseven Stone | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Rock River | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.