November 16, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jammin Jimtown | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Justin | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Hitter | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Incidentally | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Tez | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Duke | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fairly Bold | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jones Taxi | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Camgo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Three Phase | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | City Siege | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Meade | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ride On Faith | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Dulzura | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Transitive | 1.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Equus Novus | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Style | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy’s Top Cat | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Officer | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cape May Style | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Skittles | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bradshaw | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | West Fork | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thundershook | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jane’s Factor | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Methodical | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burn and Turn | 2.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Built Better | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Factum Love Style | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Enduros Diamond | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mossbawn | 8.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Monday Morning Qb | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Kingdom | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Quality | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rock On Luke | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Richie’s Edge | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ego Man | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inaceptable | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Son of Darkness | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Move | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Areni | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B B’s Busted | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond N Simon | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sidereal | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glowing Star | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abuela Loca | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Special Risk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Forman the Foreman | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sanavi | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Boyd Crowder | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | All Star Red | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lielielie | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grit’n’grind | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Baduke | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Espresso Caliente | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | True Blue | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Bridle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Devine Dental | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Gotta Be Strong | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Its a Journey | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shemakesmehappy | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mill and Gloria | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Annika Gold | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grazen Honor | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Friday Mass | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | The Circle Game | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.