November 15, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hartel | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Of Good Report | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystery Messenger | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swamp Souffle | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Skye Jade | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Creep | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Heart’s Passion | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Majestic Diva | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love of Art (IRE) | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Conformation | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ipray | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Venetian Harbor | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beguiled | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Addiction | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speech | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Del Mar Drama | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brave Cinderella | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kissable U | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Agave Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Flawless Gem | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Princess Mo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lighthouse | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rizzi’s Honors | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beau Rocket | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapitha Bonita | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Oh | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tizanillusion | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Flying to the Line | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Untouched Elegance | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saburai | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leading Indicator | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laker Jet | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Bunny | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Stepper | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Bunting (IRE) | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chalky (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Temple Bar | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going to Vegas | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stackin Silver | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itsthattime | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knifes Edge | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince Ricky | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spider Rico | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taco Waco | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rose Dunn | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doc Yco Cheeks | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brahms Command | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marjorie E | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Ms Jones | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnificent Q T | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avalon Ride | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Kid | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Grandpa Louie | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afternoon Heat | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corrana En Limen | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tigre Di Slugo | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loafers Boy | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Credance | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spendaholic | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Posty | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acapulco Bay | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.