Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 11, 2019

November 11, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Super Donna G 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Giuliana Vee 4.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Princess Anne 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Lady Fire 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Sevilla Sangria 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Gypsy Girl 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Miss Dancin Queen 30.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Amplio Esquema 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Carousel Marge 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Data Princess 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Margie’s Band 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Mabel’s Fable 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Queens Or Better 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Honorable Profit 5.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Carson City Coin 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Kateandlillian 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 One Odd Story 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Don’tfence Me In 15.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Broadway Trouper 15.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Solea 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gottaflathaveher 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sergio’s Panchita 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Not Interested 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Life in Flash 1.20 3.4 6-1
2 2 Slowpoke 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 River of Fire 2.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Princess A’go Go 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Tizadoozi 30.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Go Willow Go 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Smoochin Candy 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Fiduciary Values 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Tiz Madness 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 New Found Treasure 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Lulu’s On the Move 3.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 Auriga 2.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Paz the Wine 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Lana 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Fifteen K 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 French Nouget 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Petion Lass 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 King Leo 6.00 2 4-1
10 10 Junipero Avenue 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Unequivocal 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Lookin At Blessing 4.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 Seattle Ric 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Expect Drama 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 High Society 10.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Le Gros Bill 10.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Lovely Games 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Accolade 12.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Patriotic Quest 30.00 9.3 17-1
11 11 Multiple 15.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stroll Smokin 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 My Beau 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Runforthemunnings 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Battlebus 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Xmasinthecity 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Ziggy Mon 3.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Captain Thunder 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Pleasant Empire 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Greely Is Back 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bobby G 2.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Runabout 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Monkey’s Medal 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Purimeter 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Divine Interventio 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Legend’s Hope 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Bob’s My Uncle 4.50 6.4 12-1
7 7 Runninginthevale 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Miners Quest 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 He’s One Wild Dude 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Elusive Hero 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mine to Hold 3.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Lectric Choke 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 First Draft 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bubba Seventy Six 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Mattymeister 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 That Darling Devil 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 Rockin Ron 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Gi Jo Man 30.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Iambutter 30.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Awesome At Riedes 10.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Fifty Seven Chevy 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Maximo Strong 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Spooky Island 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Change the Image 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mr. Hand Full 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Empty Nestr 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Silent Fluidity 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Not My Money 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Big Bad Red 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Laurel Lady 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Beckon 5.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Vow to Dance 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mo Margarita 20.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Starlet Lady 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Holly’s Lady 15.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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