November 10, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Octopus | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Overkoter | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nonno’s Polaris | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Palace | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mahi Mahi | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Showem Apollo | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pastor Mike | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Dorian | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empress of Lov | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bragging Rights | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Erebuni | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Base | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Be Held | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’sluckythatway | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Copper Cowgirl | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Farquhar | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commanding Chief | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Da Kine | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cardiff Cay | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghost Street | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muskoka | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Merwin’s Magic | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mike Operator | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Adare | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mighty Elijah | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Valor | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Cat Canyon | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U S Hero | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Severin | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Acclamation King | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Fury | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Hot Legs | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anonymously | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swirling | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silken Spy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Livy (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses and Candy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pacifica (FR) | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Strike | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Satanta | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Occam’s Razor | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Belong to Becky | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prayer Warrior | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Claim of Passion | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Special | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bob’s Sniper | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stop the Violence | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Claws | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wound Tight | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musawaat (GB) | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreams of Valor | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Murad Khan (FR) | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Buzz | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Desi Arnaz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Biddy Duke | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stellar Sound | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spitefulness | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leucothea | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Orquidias Biz | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roadrunner’s Honor | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Much More Halo | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Special Day | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rip City | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goalie | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Act | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frasard (GB) | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Capital Call | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don V. | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Leaving You | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shootin Money | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.