November 9, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Via Egnatia | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shades of Victory | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mongolian Hero | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Class | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hardboot | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Potantico | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jefe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | So Much Happy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Palm | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Arrow | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cover Version | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Visual Magic | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lily’s Storm | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizwellwithmysoul | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fast Cotton | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Turf | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Tiger | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invasion Looming | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Dinero | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | For Him | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Love | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eclair | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Savvy Gal | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Powerfulattraction | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Navy Queen | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seahawk Lisa | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guitty (FR) | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acai | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Convoluted | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Authentic | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Absolute Unit | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moon Mischief | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jeffnjohn’sthundr | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dominant Soul | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Winners Club | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’salittlewildcat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Overjoyed | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Timmy Ho (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Thunder | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lookintogeteven | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cherokee Maiden | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lace | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Give Up | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olive You More | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sabinos Pride | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flamigo Bay (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Ella | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Seven Scents | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Platinum Nights | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Railman | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Union Ride | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Posterize | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mayan Warrior | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Principe Carlo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Let It Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ocean Fury | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Birthday | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bob and Jackie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dueling | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carnivorous | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Defense Wins | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Hero | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enemy Runner | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stone Secret | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Nasty | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Master Recovery | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Fury | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doctrinaire | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.