Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 8, 2019

November 8, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Wonder Run 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Where Y’at Joe Joe 10.00 4.8 9-1
1A 7 Hooray Austin 2.50 5.6 11-1
1 6 Skylas Gold 2.50 5.9 11-1
3 2 Wild Bert 5.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Reckless Ransom 8.00 6 11-1
5 4 Future Ruler 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 8 Sir Genghis 3.00 6.5 12-1
8 9 Galaxy Builder 15.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Honest N Lucky 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Casual Cool 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Miss Cissy 3.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Wakeway Dancer 4.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Dr. Frankie Kaye 6.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Outoftheballpark 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Fanny Box 10.00 8 15-1
1 1 Trintrin 12.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 12 Amandas Lightening 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 M V P Mookie 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Slither 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Flash Me Back 3.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Lilrascalman 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Caprock 5.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Alterana 4.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 One Proud Boy 6.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Shack Partout 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 G’s Promise 10.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Our Blue Jay 12.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Ready Redding 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sweeping Edge 2.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Macandales 2.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 He’s a Lady Tamer 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Sea Treaty 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Stihl Harbor 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Who Datawaki 5.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Jade Star 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Montbrooks Miracle 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Hewhofillsmyheart 12.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Papa’s Isaac 3.50 6 11-1
1 1 Primal Destiny 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Luvmewhenimgone 4.00 7 13-1
10 10 Texas Troubador 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Gentleman Charlie 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Golden Palace 10.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Fast Verdict 10.00 9 17-1
5 5 Suadade 12.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Boston Cadillac 12.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Western Days 4.50 9.4 18-1
11 11 Parked It 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 King Bayou 3.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Gracida 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Harbor Knight 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 The Mo U No 3.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Captain’s Song 6.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Thirtyeightcaliber 8.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Musada 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Richie Gary 10.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Double Cool 10.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Grand Little Man 15.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dale’s Lil Sis 3.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Memory Magic 2.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Honest Woman 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 My Pepper Ann 10.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Kodiak Sky 5.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Zyanara 3.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Jolie Gee 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 See What’s What 12.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Tiz One Fee 12.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Survey 4.50 5.4 10-1
9 9 Jerrys Pridenjoy 4.50 6.5 12-1
10 10 Power Jet 3.50 6.7 13-1
3 3 Centsmybabyleftme 5.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Gold Buyer 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Odyssey Explorer 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Cade’s On the Bump 10.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Nate’s Attack 10.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Post Close 6.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Whatdatpay Ray 10.00 10 19-1
11 11 Dream Halo 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spirit of Caledon 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Freakonthelead 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Take Charge Chase 2.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Cameron Rules 3.00 6 11-1
9 9 Fancy This 6.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Meseta Diablo 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 That’s D ‘cat 12.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Crider Cash 10.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Stanton C 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 It’sakatfight 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Honey Hearts 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Moveslikeadancer 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Lady Belacqua 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Gladys’ Frontier 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 C C’s Baby Girl 4.50 6.1 11-1
8 8 Honest Victory 5.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Sarah’s Prayer 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Noralee 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Boggidyboggidy 20.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Seaside Surprise 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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