November 8, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Wonder Run | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Hooray Austin | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Skylas Gold | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Wild Bert | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Reckless Ransom | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Future Ruler | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Sir Genghis | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Galaxy Builder | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Honest N Lucky | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Casual Cool | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Cissy | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wakeway Dancer | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outoftheballpark | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fanny Box | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trintrin | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 12 | Amandas Lightening | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | M V P Mookie | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slither | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flash Me Back | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lilrascalman | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caprock | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alterana | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Proud Boy | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shack Partout | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | G’s Promise | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Blue Jay | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ready Redding | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sweeping Edge | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Macandales | 2.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Treaty | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stihl Harbor | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Who Datawaki | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jade Star | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Montbrooks Miracle | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Papa’s Isaac | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Primal Destiny | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luvmewhenimgone | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Texas Troubador | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gentleman Charlie | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Palace | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Verdict | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suadade | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Cadillac | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Western Days | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Parked It | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King Bayou | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gracida | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Knight | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Mo U No | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain’s Song | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thirtyeightcaliber | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musada | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Richie Gary | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double Cool | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Little Man | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Memory Magic | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honest Woman | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Pepper Ann | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kodiak Sky | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zyanara | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jolie Gee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | See What’s What | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz One Fee | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Survey | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Power Jet | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Centsmybabyleftme | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Buyer | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Odyssey Explorer | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cade’s On the Bump | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nate’s Attack | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Post Close | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whatdatpay Ray | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dream Halo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Caledon | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freakonthelead | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take Charge Chase | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cameron Rules | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy This | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meseta Diablo | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | That’s D ‘cat | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crider Cash | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stanton C | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | It’sakatfight | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honey Hearts | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moveslikeadancer | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Belacqua | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gladys’ Frontier | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | C C’s Baby Girl | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honest Victory | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah’s Prayer | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noralee | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boggidyboggidy | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Seaside Surprise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.