Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 8, 2019

November 8, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Summer Fire 2.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 I Will Not 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Squared Straight 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Very Irish 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hawk Hill 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Debt Monger 3.50 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wildman Jack 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Restless Rambler 2.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Truck Salesman 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Eskimo Roses 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Portando 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Big Runnuer 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 General Interest 3.00 5.6 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Brimstoned 5.00 4 8-1
8 7 Impression 5.00 4 8-1
6 5 Fire When Ready 3.50 4.2 8-1
9 8 Ernie Banks 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Roaring Rule 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Implicitly 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Wilshire Dude 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Dawood 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Kenzou’s Rhythm 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Golden Melodie 3.00 3.4 7-1
6 5 It’s a Riddle 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 2 Happy Trails 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Golden Chrome 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Chieftess 5.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Ladies Luv Munny 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 For My Brother 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Unusual Secret 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hootie 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Volubile 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 You Must Chill 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Tartini 4.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Go for a Ride 8.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Soul Beam 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Channel Crossing 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Blame It On Kitty 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Storm the Bastille (FR) 5.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Tiz a Slayer 20.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Into Rissa 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Remember to Smile 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Adorably Sweet 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Too Hot for Curlin 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Spanish Channel 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Stormin Ranger 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Reffine 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Twirling Diamond 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Kathryn Crosby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Excellent Sunset (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Super Patriot 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Storming Lady 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Lostintranzlation 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Poster Girl (GB) 3.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Free My Soul 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Curlin’s Journey 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Wicked Old Fashion 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 La Sardane (FR) 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tiz Toffee 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Tiki Bar Logic 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Road Test 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Whoa Nessie 3.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 Meso 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Bunny Yogurt 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Check Six 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Alta Ky 12.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Erebuni 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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