November 8, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Summer Fire | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Will Not | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Squared Straight | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Very Irish | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hawk Hill | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Debt Monger | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wildman Jack | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Restless Rambler | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truck Salesman | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eskimo Roses | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Portando | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Runnuer | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | General Interest | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Brimstoned | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Impression | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fire When Ready | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ernie Banks | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roaring Rule | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Implicitly | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wilshire Dude | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dawood | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Golden Melodie | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | It’s a Riddle | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Happy Trails | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Chrome | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chieftess | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ladies Luv Munny | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | For My Brother | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unusual Secret | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hootie | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Volubile | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You Must Chill | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tartini | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go for a Ride | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Soul Beam | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Channel Crossing | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blame It On Kitty | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Slayer | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Into Rissa | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remember to Smile | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adorably Sweet | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Hot for Curlin | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Channel | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stormin Ranger | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reffine | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Diamond | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Kathryn Crosby S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Excellent Sunset (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Patriot | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storming Lady | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lostintranzlation | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poster Girl (GB) | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free My Soul | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Journey | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Old Fashion | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Sardane (FR) | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Toffee | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiki Bar Logic | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Road Test | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whoa Nessie | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Meso | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bunny Yogurt | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Check Six | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alta Ky | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Erebuni | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.