November 8, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rapido Gatta | 0.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Bliss | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blahnik | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hickory Made | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pharaoh’s Daughter | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | London House | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liam Lets Go | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inalienable Rights | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Horoscope | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All Clear | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Who’s Driving | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Latin Love Bug | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vicar’s Legend | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Always a Queen | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bow Maker | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mayas Miracle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Negrita | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Lady of Loreto | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Cyn | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Morning Star | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All About Reyana | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Thunder | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Leaky Cup | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Star Bunt | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cerretalto | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kosciuszko | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kazmania | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Speightful Kitten | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Foolish Ghost | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Zoysia | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pure Wow | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moral Reasoning | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ameriel | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coin the Phrase | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Stunting | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Giggle Factory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Summer Belief | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charge It Please | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Strike Magic | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Henni Penny | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen Daveigh | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Earned Success | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Life in Shambles | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Salute | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Distortion | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Ramsey | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Sicarii | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bitumen | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swiping Dan | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doups Point | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Gemmy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twisted Tom | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Durkin’s Call | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danebury | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zonic | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Local Counsel | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shamrock Kid | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Singapore Trader | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carthon | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10A | 6 | Fig Jelly | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | McErin | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 15A | 11 | End Play | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Critical Way | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kitten’s Cat | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Dirty | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onthewaytonevrland (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Blueblood | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pulsate | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Square Shooter | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vici | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Clever Triad | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sky Magician | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Blessed Halo | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Lonhtwist | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Fuel the Bern | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Days of Spring | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roma Delight | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookn Fine as Wine | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hedonism | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maliceinthepalace | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stuy Town Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Evade | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Rose | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R V Treasure | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shine Like Bobby | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Barker Lane | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Launch Sequence | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Shes Euphoric | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.