November 7, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Nation | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carletta | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Accustomed to Hope | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ante Vera | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Shasta | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We Can Dream | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joey G | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duchess of Zmor | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abbie’s Mistress | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seismic | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Peacefully | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Card Shark | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flashing Angelbaby | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kye’s Addycat | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Horace Charles | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cachito | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Flash’s Adventure | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Halos Prayer | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Little Mario | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cajun Cash | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hold Me Kat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Incoming Wire | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Last Destiny | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Batty | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Sass | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady King | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toshita Forever | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G G Has a Shot | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missholysensation | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Candy for Three | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shooters Alley | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Academy Bay | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Smitty | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eights Wild | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arkansas Martini | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turn Up the Lights | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Lucky | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mundo Mutadda | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lip Service | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sea Treaty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Southern Dudette | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oleta Inez | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rivetrix | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Lucky Star | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emily’s Pegasus | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ruby Red Slippers | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Suede Ransom | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gabby’s Freedom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mister | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atomic Candy | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Streaker | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Richards Dream | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kubo Cat | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Djinn of Djibouti | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purple Heart Road | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Massive Punch | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smok’n Rita | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Onetwomanyrockets | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | This Is My Prayer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Our Easter Lily | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duepeg | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salesgirl | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Molly Golightly | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calaja | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Schiff’s Corner | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsnotmyjob | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oretta | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ashley Astray | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sara’s Flash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lil Ms Bossy Pants | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mimi’s Song | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballerina Boogie | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mabelee | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Mercy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond for Crider | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ranger Connection | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warriors Speak | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bandit’s Deelite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Second Guess | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wristlet | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of the Testo | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Looking for Bull | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley’s Glacken | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | U Complete Me | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Fireworks | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deweycheatemanhowe | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boston Brew | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Kay | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.